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How Have Swings in Demand Affected Global Supply Chain Pressures?

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Abstract

In a January 2022 post, we first presented the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI), a parsimonious global measure designed to capture supply chain disruptions using a range of indicators. The spirit of our index was to isolate supply factors, such as shutdowns in response to the pandemic, that put pressure on the global supply chain. In this post, we describe an auxiliary index, the Net GSCPI, which differs from the GSCPI by not filtering out demand factors. This “net” index is meant to capture global supply chain stress from both the supply and demand sides. Our analysis documents that the net index is currently below its historical average, unlike the original index, due to both the easing of supply constraints and a contraction in global demand.

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  • Gianluca Benigno & Hunter L. Clark & William Cross-Bermingham & Ethan Nourbash, 2023. "How Have Swings in Demand Affected Global Supply Chain Pressures?," Liberty Street Economics 20230221, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:95691
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    File URL: https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2023/02/how-have-swings-in-demand-affected-global-supply-chain-pressures/
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    global supply chain; imbalances; Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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