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Inflation and Japan's Ever-Tightening Labor Market

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Abstract

Japan offers a preview of future U.S. demographic trends, having already seen a large increase in the population over 65. So, how has the Japanese economy dealt with this change? A look at the data shows that women of all ages have been pulled into the labor force and that more people are working longer. This transformation of the work force has not been enough to prevent a very tight labor market in a slowly growing economy, and it may help explain why inflation remains minimal. Namely, wages are not responding as much as they might to the tight labor market because women and older workers tend to have lower bargaining power than prime-age males.

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  • Bianca De Paoli & Thomas Klitgaard & Harry Wheeler, 2016. "Inflation and Japan's Ever-Tightening Labor Market," Liberty Street Economics 20161114, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:87162
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    Keywords

    Japan; inflation; unemployment rates; vacancies; demographics; labor force; working-age population;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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