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China’s Impact on U.S. Inflation

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Abstract

U.S. import prices of consumer goods shipped from China have been moderating in recent quarters, following an upward surge of 11 percent between mid-2010 and the end of 2011. These price changes have far-reaching consequences for U.S. businesses and consumers, because China is the largest single supplier of imports to the United States, accounting for more than 20 percent of nonoil imports and more than 30 percent of consumer goods. In this post, we track U.S. import price movements in different product categories from China by constructing import price indexes that use highly disaggregated data. We also explore various underlying factors that might explain these important trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Mary Amiti & Mark Choi, 2013. "China’s Impact on U.S. Inflation," Liberty Street Economics 20130114, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:86852
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    Keywords

    China; inflation; appreciation; price index;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General

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