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The Neutral Rate and the Summary of Economic Projections

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Abstract

This note uses information provided in the quarterly Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) of FOMC meeting participants to extract estimates of the neutral federal funds rate--defined as the value of the federal funds rate that is "neither expansionary nor contractionary if the economy were operating near its potential"--in the short and longer run.

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  • Michelle Bongard & Benjamin K. Johannsen, 2016. "The Neutral Rate and the Summary of Economic Projections," FEDS Notes 2016-11-28, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgfn:2016-11-28
    DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.1890
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    File URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/notes/feds-notes/2016/neutral-rate-and-the-summary-of-economic-projections-20161128.html
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    Cited by:

    1. Lael Brainard, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Time of Uncertainty : a speech at the Brookings Institution, Washington, D.C., January 17, 2017," Speech 933, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

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