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Stabilization vs. Growth

Author

Listed:
  • Miguel Faria-e-Castro
  • Pascal Paul
  • Juan M. Sanchez

Abstract

Should firms in financial distress be saved to stabilize an economy, even if less productive ones are kept alive, possibly reducing economic growth? To assess this fundamental stabilization-vs. growth trade-off, we develop a new dynamic general equilibrium model with business cycles, endogenous growth, and innovation externalities. We discipline key parameters using microeconomic data and an instrumental-variable approach that links firm productivity growth to R&D expenditure. Based on the calibrated model, we find that economies that save distressed firms with credit guarantees, debt restructuring, or loan evergreening experience lower volatility but also slower growth. Even though welfare is higher in an economy without such interventions, the various “soft credit” regimes can still arise as equilibrium outcomes when a benevolent government intervenes in credit markets under discretion.

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Pascal Paul & Juan M. Sanchez, 2026. "Stabilization vs. Growth," Working Paper Series 2026-09, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfwp:103111
    DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-09
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    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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