IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/fda/fdafen/2020-02.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

El Impacto Macroeconómico del Coronavirus

Author

Listed:
  • J.E. Boscá
  • R. Doménech
  • J. Ferri

Abstract

En esta nota se ofrece una primera estimación de urgencia del impacto económico de la pandemia de coronavirus en España y de algunas de las medidas que se están tomando para mitigar sus efectos utilizando el modelo EREMS. En un escenario base relativamente optimista en cuanto a la duración del confinamiento y la intensidad de sus efectos sobre la utilización de la capacidad productiva, se estima que la crisis sanitaria reducirá el crecimiento del PIB en 2020 en algo menos de seis puntos en relación a un escenario sin pandemia, lo que supondría una caída de este agregado de algo más de 4 puntos si no se tomasen medidas paliativas. La suspensión de la regla fiscal europea, el programa de compra de activos del BCE, la concesión de avales públicos y el resto de medidas anunciadas hasta el momento por el Gobierno pueden ayudar a mitigar significativamente la caída del PIB y del consumo y contribuir a una recuperación más rápida, aunque al coste de un importante aumento del déficit público.

Suggested Citation

  • J.E. Boscá & R. Doménech & J. Ferri, 2020. "El Impacto Macroeconómico del Coronavirus," Fedea Economy Notes 2020-02, FEDEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:fda:fdafen:2020-02
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://documentos.fedea.net/pubs/ap/2020/ap2020-02.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cristina Elena CAZACU & Teodora Valentina LICÄ‚ & Cristina Gabriela COSMULESE, 2022. "Pandemic In Romania €“ Financial And Taxation Measures Taken During The Covid-19 Crisis And Their Effects On The Romanian Public Economy," European Journal of Accounting, Finance & Business, "Stefan cel Mare" University of Suceava, Romania - Faculty of Economics and Public Administration, West University of Timisoara, Romania - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 10(3), pages 41-52, October.
    2. Celso José Costa Jr & Alejandro Garcia-Cintado & Karlo Marques, 2020. "Conventional macroeconomic policies and the pandemic-driven recession," Working Papers 20.03, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
    3. González Laxe, Fernando & Armesto Pina, José Francisco & Lago-Peñas, Santiago & Sanchez-Fernandez, Patricio, 2020. "Impacto económico del COVID19 en una economía regional. El caso del confinamiento para Galicia [Economic impact of COVID19 in a regional economy. The case of the lock-down in Galicia]," MPRA Paper 100002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Costa Junior, Celso J. & Garcia-Cintado, Alejandro C. & Junior, Karlo Marques, 2021. "Macroeconomic policies and the pandemic-driven recession," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 438-465.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fda:fdafen:2020-02. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Carmen Arias (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.fedea.net .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.