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Temperature and Productivity in Soccer

Author

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  • Vojtech Misak

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic)

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of temperature on soccer team productivity using match-level data from ten countries across three continents. The results show that temperature affects multiple performance metrics, often in non-linear ways. Specifically, attacking efficiency is enhanced in warmer conditions, leading to increased goal productivity and improved shot conversion rates. Conversely, defensive performance appears to weaken in warmer conditions, with a decrease in defensive pressure and passing accuracy. Player aggression follows an inverted U-shaped pattern in relation to temperature. The effects of temperature vary across different leagues and climate regions. The relationship between temperature and outcome measures tends to be stronger in lower leagues, while the Champions League is the least influenced overall. Teams from colder regions experience a larger decline in passing volume when playing in high temperatures, with the effect being particularly pronounced in Brazil.

Suggested Citation

  • Vojtech Misak, 2025. "Temperature and Productivity in Soccer," Working Papers IES 2025/07, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Apr 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:fau:wpaper:wp2025_07
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    File URL: https://ies.fsv.cuni.cz/en/temperature-and-productivity-soccer
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Football; Soccer; Temperature; Weather; Productivity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • K14 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - Criminal Law
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • K49 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Other

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