IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/eyd/cp2015/256.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Crude Oil Price Pass-Through to Domestic Prices in Turkey: Asymmetric Nonlinear ARDL Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Harun Öztürkler

    (Kırıkkale University, Department of Econometrics)

  • Fatih Demir

    (Kırıkkale University, Department of Econometics)

  • Serhat Yılmaz

    (Kırıkkale University, Department of Econometics)

Abstract

Increasing World population leads to an ever-rising energy need. For every individual in the economic activity and sector the most important energy resource is oil and oil products. Oil is also one of the most important items in the trade between countries. Turkey is a mostly energy dependent country, and this dependency is also the case for oil and oil products. As it is the case for those countries with significant energy dependency, oil price is important for economic stability in Turkey. The effects of oil price on macroeconomic variables are discussed frequently in the related literature. There are empirical studies in the literature investigating the differing effects of oil price rise and fall on economic activity. Some of these studies conclude that the effect is asymmetric. On the other hand, there is no consensus in the literature about the causes of asymmetric price pass-though. This study aims at determining the effects of oil price changes on the inflation in Turkey and whether price pass-through symmetric or asymmetric.

Suggested Citation

  • Harun Öztürkler & Fatih Demir & Serhat Yılmaz, 2015. "Crude Oil Price Pass-Through to Domestic Prices in Turkey: Asymmetric Nonlinear ARDL Approach," EY International Congress on Economics II (EYC2015), November 5-6, 2015, Ankara, Turkey 256, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:eyd:cp2015:256
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.ekonomikyaklasim.org/eyc2015/userfiles/downloads/_Paper%20256.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil Price; Asymmetric Price Pass-Through; Asymmetric ARDL; Turkey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eyd:cp2015:256. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: . General contact details of provider: http://www.ekonomikyaklasim.org .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ozan Eruygur (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.ekonomikyaklasim.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.