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Monetary policy and the over-investment cycle: China as an extreme case

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  • Gros, Daniel

Abstract

Against the background of the severe turbulence that is hitting global stock markets, Daniel Gros examines the looming slowdown in the Chinese economy in this CEPS Commentary, which he attributes to an underlying �real� domestic investment/savings imbalance. Given the magnitude of this imbalance, Gros thinks it is unlikely to be solved by monetary policy and that the best that can be hoped for is that the central banks will manage to �paper over� some of the unavoidable symptoms in credit markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Gros, Daniel, 2015. "Monetary policy and the over-investment cycle: China as an extreme case," CEPS Papers 10861, Centre for European Policy Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:eps:cepswp:10861
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    File URL: https://www.ceps.eu/system/files/DG%20Overinvestment%20cycle%20China.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Barslund, Mikkel & Alcidi, Cinzia, 2015. "China�s slowdown: When the dragon catches the flu, Europe sneezes," CEPS Papers 10960, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    2. Shen, Jianfu & Firth, Michael & Poon, Winnie P.H., 2016. "Credit Expansion, Corporate Finance and Overinvestment: Recent Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 16-27.

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