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The Overall View of the Effect of Inspections and Evaluation of the Target Factor to target substandard vessels


  • Knapp, S.
  • Franses, Ph.H.B.F.


This report is the third part of a PhD project entitled "The Econometrics of Maritime Safety – Recommendations to Enhance Safety at Sea" which is based on 183,000 port state control inspections and 11,700 casualties from various data sources. Its overall objective is to provide recommendations to improve safety at sea. The second part looks into the differences across port state control regimes based on the probability of detention while the third part is measuring the effect of inspections on the probability of casualty which can be measured for very serious casualties but not for serious or less serious casualties. It further determines the magnitude of improvement areas for targeting substandard vessels and gives an evaluation of the target factor.

Suggested Citation

  • Knapp, S. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2006. "The Overall View of the Effect of Inspections and Evaluation of the Target Factor to target substandard vessels," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2006-31, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:ems:eureir:7896

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    Port State Control Effectiveness; binary logistic regression; casualty first events; effectiveness of vetting inspections; magnitude of improvement possibilities; maritime safety; probability of casualty; target factor improvement;

    JEL classification:

    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • L9 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities
    • L92 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Railroads and Other Surface Transportation
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise


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