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Projection of China’s energy structure change under carbon emission peak target by 2030


  • Yanshuo Zhu
  • Wang Zheng
  • Zhu Yongbin
  • Shi Ying1


The anthropogenic-induced climate change is mainly caused by the fossil energy and the effect of the energy evolution to the emission reduction is what the paper key concerns. In ensuring the economic costs as the most important factor of the goal, fully consider the substitution effect between various energy technologies and impact of technological advances in the evolution of energy mix. With the flexible connection of the equilibrium between energy supply and demand, we constructed a hybrid model with the optimal balanced growth structure and the energy dynamic optimization. The simulation is consisting of tow parts, (1)China's energy structure evolutionary trend under the unconstrained freedom emissions(2)Carbon emissions and energy structure evolutionary trend based on carbon tax policy.

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  • Yanshuo Zhu & Wang Zheng & Zhu Yongbin & Shi Ying1, 2015. "Projection of China’s energy structure change under carbon emission peak target by 2030," EcoMod2015 8330, EcoMod.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekd:008007:8330

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    China; Energy and environmental policy; Energy and environmental policy;

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