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An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for Estonia

Author

Listed:
  • Paolo Gelain
  • Dmitry Kulikov

    ()

Abstract

This paper presents an estimated open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for Estonia. The model is designed to highlight the main driving forces behind the Estonian business cycle and to understand how euro area economic shocks and its monetary policy affect the small open economy of Estonia. The model described in this paper is a two-area DSGE model incorporating New Keynesian features such as nominal price and wage rigidity, variable capital utilization, investment adjustment costs, as well as other typical features - both for the domestic and euro area part of the model. It is rich in structural shocks such as technology, consumption preference, mark-up, etc. The model is estimated by Bayesian techniques using a quarterly data sample that covers main macroeconomic aggregates of Estonia and the euro area. The ultimate goal of the new model is for it to be used in simulation exercises, policy advice and forecasting at the Bank of Estonia

Suggested Citation

  • Paolo Gelain & Dmitry Kulikov, 2009. "An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for Estonia," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2009-5, Bank of Estonia, revised 30 Dec 2009.
  • Handle: RePEc:eea:boewps:wp2009-05
    as

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    File URL: http://www.eestipank.info/pub/en/dokumendid/publikatsioonid/seeriad/uuringud/_2009/_5_2009/_wp_509.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. repec:taf:pocoec:v:28:y:2016:i:4:p:537-560 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Koskinen Hannu & Vilmunen Jouko, 2017. "Implications for Aggregate Inflation of Sectoral Asymmetries : Generalizing Woodford," Working Papers 1716, University of Tampere, School of Management, Economics.
    3. Mara Pirovano, 2013. "Household and firm leverage, capital flows and monetary policy in a small open economy," Working Paper Research 246, National Bank of Belgium.
    4. Viktors Ajevskis & Kristine Vitola, 2011. "Fixed Exchange Rate Versus Inflation Targeting: Evidence from DSGE Modelling," Working Papers 2011/02, Latvijas Banka.
    5. de Walque, Gregory & Lundvall, Henrik & Papageorgiou, Dimitris & Rysanek, Jakub & Kulikov, Dmitry & Júlio, Paulo & Lozej, Matija & Sideris, Dimitris & Maria, José R. & Micallef, Brian & Schmidt, Sebas, 2015. "Comparing fiscal multipliers across models and countries in Europe," Working Paper Series 1760, European Central Bank.
    6. Boris Blagov, 2013. "Financial crises and time- varying risk premia in a small open economy: a Markov-Switching DSGE model for Estonia," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2013-8, Bank of Estonia, revised 09 Dec 2013.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; New Keynesian models; small open economy; Bayesian statistical inference;

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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