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Understanding the Variation in the Information Content of Earnings: A Return Decomposition Analysis

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  • Hou, Kewei

    (OH State University)

  • Zhang, Yinglei

    (Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Zhuang, Zili

    (Chinese University of Hong Kong)

Abstract

We use the Campbell (1991) return decomposition framework to reexamine the variation in the information content of earnings between profit firms and loss firms and over time. We show that current earnings surprises are more strongly correlated with the discount rate news component of returns for loss firms and in the recent period. This stronger correlation offsets the positive relation between current earnings surprises and the earnings news component of returns, causing the overall earnings-return relation to be weaker for loss firms and during the recent period. Consistent with these findings, we also find that discount rate news is a more important driver of the return variation of loss firms and in the recent period. Our results highlight the importance of time-varying discount rates for understanding the information content of earnings.

Suggested Citation

  • Hou, Kewei & Zhang, Yinglei & Zhuang, Zili, 2015. "Understanding the Variation in the Information Content of Earnings: A Return Decomposition Analysis," Working Paper Series 2015-01, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecl:ohidic:2015-01
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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