Coordination Under Uncertain Conditions : An Analysis of the Fukushima Catastrophe
ï»¿This paper analyzes the impacts of the 11 March 2011 earthquake and tsunami at the Fukushima nuclear power plant in Japan, which were amplified by a failure of coordination across the plant, corporate, industrial, and regulatory levels, resulting in a nuclear catastrophe, comparable in cost to Chernobyl. It derives generic lessons for industrial structure and regulatory frame of the electric power industry by identifying the two shortcomings of a horizontal coordination mechanism : instability under large shock and the lack of â€œdefense in depth.â€ The suggested policy response is to harness the power of â€œopen-interface-rule-based modularityâ€ by creating an independent nuclear safety commission and an independent system operator owning the transmission grids in Japan. We propose a transitory price mechanism that can restrain price volatility while providing investment incentives.
|Date of creation:||Oct 2011|
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