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Perspectivas Demograficas de Galicia

Author

Listed:
  • Guisan, M.C.

    ()

  • Cancelo, T.

    ()

  • Iglesias, A.

    ()

  • Vazquez, E.

    ()

Abstract

Galicia ha sido hasta mediados del siglo veinte una de las regiones con mayor peso poblacional de España, con un porcentaje superior al 10% en las primeras decadas de dicho siglo. Los fuertes movimientos migratorios de la primera mitad del siglo, primero hacia Latinoamerica y despues hacia los paises mas desarrollados de Europa, la industrializacion tardia, el descenso de los precios relativos de la agricultura, y la baja participacion de Galicia en muchos capitulos importantes del gasto publico español han sido algunos de los principales factores que explican su perdida de peso relativo en la poblacion nacional, hasta situarse en el 6.6% en el año 2001. A pesar de ello Galicia ha tenido una evolucion muy positiva en las ultimas decada del siglo veinte en industrializacion, turismo y educacion, y es deseable que se superen tambien otros obstaculos para conseguir una recuperacion del peso poblacional de Galicia, en torno al 7%, o al menos para evitar que descienda por debajo del 6%. En este trabajo se analizan algunos modelos econometricos que explican esta evolucion y se presentan tres escenarios alternativos respecto a la evolucion de la poblacion de Galicia en el periodo 2001-2011

Suggested Citation

  • Guisan, M.C. & Cancelo, T. & Iglesias, A. & Vazquez, E., 2002. "Perspectivas Demograficas de Galicia," Economic Development 53, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business. Econometrics..
  • Handle: RePEc:eaa:ecodev:53
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barten, A. P., 1969. "Maximum likelihood estimation of a complete system of demand equations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 7-73.
    2. Guisan, M.Carmen, 2001. "Causality and Cointegration between Consumption and GDP in 25 OECD countries: limitations of cointegration approach," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 1(1), pages 39-61.
    3. Deaton, Angus S & Muellbauer, John, 1980. "An Almost Ideal Demand System," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 312-326, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Lopez, Carmen, 1998. "Evolucion demografica y demanda de viviendas en Galicia," Economic Development 27, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business. Econometrics..

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demography;

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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