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Mortality change and its impact on child survival

Author

Listed:
  • Iván Williams

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)

  • Diego Alburez-Gutierrez

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)

Abstract

Background The Goodman-Keyfitz-Pullum Kinship Equations estimate offspring survival for women in populations with stable levels of mortality and fertility. A separate body of literature has focused on the effects of mortality change on life expectancy. Combining these two approaches allows us to consider the effects of mortality change on offspring survival. Results The effect of an all-age mortality increase on child survival is indirectly proportional to the mean age of an average woman's surviving children. Equivalently, the effect is indirectly proportional to the mean time that a woman has spent with her surviving offspring. Generalizing for an age-specific mortality change follows life expectancy treatment. Contributions We bring together two separate traditions in mathematical demography to provide an intuitive understanding of the consequences of mortality change for offspring survival and women's lived experience of child loss. This conceptual framework can be used, for example, to study maternal bereavement in the context of a sustained mortality decline or a sudden mortality crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Iván Williams & Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, 2021. "Mortality change and its impact on child survival," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2021-001, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2021-001
    DOI: 10.4054/MPIDR-WP-2021-001
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    Cited by:

    1. Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, 2021. "The demographic drivers of grief and memory after genocide in Guatemala," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2021-003, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    World; kinship; maternal and child health; mathematical demography; mortality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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