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An Attempt at Reading Keynes's Treatise on Probability

  • Christian P. Robert


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    The book A Treatise on Probability was published by John MaynardKeynes in 1921. It contains a critical assessment of the foundations of probabilityand of the current statistical methodology. As a modern reader, we review herethe aspects that are most related with statistics, avoiding a neophyte's perspectiveon the philosophical issues. In particular, the book is quite critical of the Bayesianapproach and we examine the arguments provided by Keynes, as well as the alter-native he proposes. This review does not subsume the scholarly study of Aldrich(2008a) relating Keynes with the statistics community of the time.

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    Paper provided by Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique in its series Working Papers with number 2010-26.

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    Length: 15
    Date of creation: 2010
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:crs:wpaper:2010-26
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