IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Dynamic Modeling of Fertility and Labour Market Participation of Married or Cohabiting Women


  • Cyriaque Edon


  • Thierry Kamionka



We jointly model fertility and participation decisions of women who livein couple using a dynamic model. In this paper we analyze the labour supplyand the fertility decisions of married or cohabiting women in France, Spain,Germany, UK and Denmark. We estimate, for the period going from 1994 to2001, a dynamic bivariate probit model with random effects using the ECHP(European Community Household Panel) and using a simulated maximumlikelihood estimator. These estimates are made on an annual basis takinginto account the initial conditions problem. The decisions of participationand fertility of women who live in couple depend on the individual characteristics(observed or unobserved) and are characterized by a significant statedependence. Our results suggest that the decisions of employment and fertilitycannot be modeled separately. The differences in fertility across thesecountries are explained by individual characteristics and variations in socialand fiscal policies. However, the unobserved components of heterogeneityalso play a central role in the observed differences across countries. Weshow the importance of the permanent income component in the participationdecision. Random effects are negatively correlated across the equationsof the model. Consequently, women who, a priori, prefer to have a higherconsumption have weaker preferences for fertility.

Suggested Citation

  • Cyriaque Edon & Thierry Kamionka, 2010. "Dynamic Modeling of Fertility and Labour Market Participation of Married or Cohabiting Women," Working Papers 2010-09, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  • Handle: RePEc:crs:wpaper:2010-09

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    File Function: Crest working paper version
    Download Restriction: no

    Other versions of this item:


    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.

    Cited by:

    1. R. Collet & D. Legros, 2016. "Dynamics of female labour force participation in France," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(30), pages 2807-2821, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:crs:wpaper:2010-09. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Sri Srikandan). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.