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Anticipations effects in endogeneous probability-migration models


  • Manuel Garçon

    () (CEREGMIA, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane)

  • Josselin Garnier

    () (Laboratoire PMA et Jacques-Louis Lions, Université Paris 7)

  • Abdennebi Omrane

    () (CEREGMIA, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane)


We analyze a probability-migration model based on the threshold of average human capital as in H.-J. Chen [1]. The difficult and interesting case is the one where the probability of migration is dependent on current average human capital (the anticipative case). Here, indeterminacy occurs, and one has to study a lot of subcases. In the present article we deeply study new interesting cases and we give a global answer.

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Garçon & Josselin Garnier & Abdennebi Omrane, 2010. "Anticipations effects in endogeneous probability-migration models," Documents de Travail 2010-08, CEREGMIA, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane.
  • Handle: RePEc:crg:wpaper:dt2010-08

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    Human capital; Education; Migration; Indeterminacy; Economic growth; Threshold human capital; Fixed point; Optimistic and pessimistic mechanisms; Conservative mechanism;

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