Exchange Rate Risk and Imperfect Capital Mobility in an Optimizing Macromodel
A stochastic two-period model of a small open economy with optimizing consumption and portfolio choice is constructed. Exchange rate risk means domestic-currency bonds are imperfect substitutes for foreign-currency bonds. Expectations are rational, i.e. subjective probability distributions equal the true distributions resulting from the exogenous sources of uncertainty, which in this model are the foreign inflation rate and either the future money supply or government spending. With the former, no real risk premium exists, but increased monetary variance reduces current output, which nominal wage rigidity makes responsive to aggregate demand. With the latter source of uncertainty a premium exists, but neither the risk premium nor output is affected by an increased variance of government spending.
|Date of creation:||Jul 1991|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: |
Phone: 44 - 20 - 7183 8801
Fax: 44 - 20 - 7183 8820
|Order Information:|| Email: |
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:567. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ()
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.