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Noisy Financial Signals and Persistent Effects of Nominal Shocks in Open Economies

Author

Listed:
  • Andersen, Torben M
  • Beier, Niels C

Abstract

Floating exchange rates display substantial short-run volatility causing a nontrivial information problem in disentangling temporary from permanent changes. Although agents observe current market signals they are imperfectly informed about the future, but they accumulate information and learn over time. We analyze how this basic information problem in the presence of one-period nominal contracts affects the dynamic adjustment process to nominal shocks. Specifically we use a general equilibrium two-country model with specialized production and one-period nominal contracts and consider the propagation of nominal shocks. Informational problems are shown to have important qualitative and potentially strong quantitative importance for the propagation of nominal shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Andersen, Torben M & Beier, Niels C, 2000. "Noisy Financial Signals and Persistent Effects of Nominal Shocks in Open Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 2360, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2360
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Christian Pierdzioch & Georg Stadtmann, 2007. "Exchange Rates, Expectations, and Monetary Policy: a NOEM Perspective," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(2), pages 252-268, May.
    2. Pierdzioch, Christian, 2005. "Noise trading and delayed exchange rate overshooting," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 133-156, September.
    3. Pierdzioch, Christian, 2003. "Noise Trading and the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Nominal and Real Exchange Rates," Kiel Working Papers 1140, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Pierdzioch, Christian, 2004. "Productivity Shocks and Delayed Exchange-Rate Overshooting," Kiel Working Papers 1199, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rates; Imperfect information; Learning; Nominal shocks; Persistence; Temporary and permanent shocks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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