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Micro and Macro Perspectives on Production-Based Markups

Author

Listed:
  • Fernald, John
  • Gandhi, Amit
  • Ruzic, Dimitrije
  • Traina, James

Abstract

We review the ``production approach'' to estimating markups, the ratio of price to marginal cost. The approach is scalable. It requires no model of consumer demand or market structure and applies broadly across firms, industries, and time. We organize our review around a simple insight: the production-based markup is a residual. Like the Solow residual, it is clean in theory but potentially contaminated by misspecification and mismeasurement. This framing helps explain why small differences in implementation can produce starkly different results from the same data. In some cases, estimated markups have risen sharply. In others, they have not. We provide conceptual rationales for these disagreements, offer practical guidance on data and estimation, and call for greater transparency about how much of the variation attributed to markups may instead reflect technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernald, John & Gandhi, Amit & Ruzic, Dimitrije & Traina, James, 2025. "Micro and Macro Perspectives on Production-Based Markups," CEPR Discussion Papers 20628, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:20628
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    JEL classification:

    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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