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Fiscal Policy’s Role in Economic Resilience to Climate Shocks

Author

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  • Rezai, Armon
  • Ruch, Franz
  • Choudhary, Rishabh
  • Francois, John Nana Darko

Abstract

The impacts of climate change on developing economies are becoming increasingly severe, creating challenges for risk management and requiring enhanced levels of resilience. This paper explores how to mitigate the effects of such climate shocks on developing economies, placing a particular focus on the role fiscal policy in creating and strengthening an economy’s resilience. Using data on natural disasters, the analysis shows that economies with constrained fiscal space experience more pronounced negative effects. In an application to a small open economy, the paper tests the presence of the non-linearity of short- and long-run disaster impacts in the World Bank's macroeconomic and fiscal model and illustrates the importance of fiscal policy in mitigating shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Rezai, Armon & Ruch, Franz & Choudhary, Rishabh & Francois, John Nana Darko, 2024. "Fiscal Policy’s Role in Economic Resilience to Climate Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 19704, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:19704
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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