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Do the Effects of Individual Behavioral Biases Cancel Out?

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  • Uppal, Raman
  • Bhamra, Harjoat Singh

Abstract

A major criticism of behavioral economics is that it has not shown that the idiosyncratic biases of individual investors lead to aggregate effects. We construct a model of a general-equilibrium production economy with a large number of firms and investors. Investors' beliefs about stock returns are determined endogenously based on their psychological distances from firms; consequently, investors are optimistic about some stocks and pessimistic about others. We consider two examples: one where portfolio errors cancel out and the other in which the behavioral biases cancel out when aggregated across investors. We show asset prices and macroeconomic aggregates are still distorted.

Suggested Citation

  • Uppal, Raman & Bhamra, Harjoat Singh, 2021. "Do the Effects of Individual Behavioral Biases Cancel Out?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16335, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:16335
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Behavioral finance; Money market; Aggregate growth; Stochastic discount factor;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • E03 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Macroeconomics
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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