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Four Essays and a Funeral: Budgetary Arithmetic under the Maastricht Treaty

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  • Hughes Hallett, Andrew
  • McAdam, Peter

Abstract

This paper analyses four popular themes in the debate about the transition to monetary union: (a) fiscal discipline creating gains in credibility; (b) there being perceptible risk of a bail out for the highly indebted countries; (c) budgets being successfully cut to the required 3% limit in conditions of low growth and low inflation; and (d) the convergence criteria actually being mutually consistent. The usual accounting identities show the first two effects are likely to be small or non-existent, whereas the second two are unlikely to be satisfied.

Suggested Citation

  • Hughes Hallett, Andrew & McAdam, Peter, 1996. "Four Essays and a Funeral: Budgetary Arithmetic under the Maastricht Treaty," CEPR Discussion Papers 1505, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1505
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    Cited by:

    1. Heipertz, Martin, 2003. "The Stability and Growth Pact - Not the best but better than nothing. Reviewing the debate on fiscal policy in Europe's Monetary Union," MPIfG Working Paper 03/10, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Convergence Criteria; Credibility; Debt and Deficit Ratios;

    JEL classification:

    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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