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L'économiste face aux innovations qui font époque : les relations entre histoire et théorie

  • Boyer, Robert
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    L'opinion publique et les responsables politiques se tournent vers l'économiste lorsque surviennent des évolutions paradoxales et sont démenties les anticipations des agents les mieux informés. Or la théorie économique s'est développée en postulant, au moins à titre méthodologique, la stationnarité des mécanismes économiques. L'économiste fait alors face à de difficiles questions: dispose-t-il des outils pour analyser une configuration réputée sans précédent? Lui faut-il recombiner les outils antérieurement forgés ou en développer de nouveaux? Ou encore, peut-il rechercher dans quelle mesure des précédents historiques livrent quelques enseignements généraux? L'article traite de ces questions à partir de trois exemples contemporains: la grande transformation des économies de type soviétique, le lancement de l'Euro et le statut de la nouvelle économie.

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    File URL: http://www.cepremap.fr/depot/couv_orange/co0112.pdf
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    Paper provided by CEPREMAP in its series CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) with number 0112.

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    Length: 50 pages
    Date of creation: 2001
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:cpm:cepmap:0112
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    1. Petit, Pascal, 1998. "Formes structurelles et régimes de croissance de l'après fordisme," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 9818, CEPREMAP.
    2. Kevin H. O'Rourke & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 2001. "Globalization and History: The Evolution of a Nineteenth-Century Atlantic Economy," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262650592, June.
    3. Paul M Romer, 1999. "Endogenous Technological Change," Levine's Working Paper Archive 2135, David K. Levine.
    4. Erkel-Rousse, Hélène & Melitz, Jacques, 1995. "New Empirical Evidence on the Costs of European Monetary Union," CEPR Discussion Papers 1169, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Dale W. Jorgenson & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2000. "Raising the Speed Limit: US Economic Growth in the Information Age," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 261, OECD Publishing.
    6. Barry Eichengreen & Charles Wyplosz, 1998. "The Stability Pact: more than a minor nuisance?," Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 13(26), pages 65-113, 04.
    7. Juillard Michel & Boyer Robert, 1992. "New endogeneous growth theory versus a productivity regime (the)," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 9210, CEPREMAP.
    8. Paul A. David, 2005. "Understanding Digital Technology’s Evolution and the Path of Measured Productivity Growth: Present and Future in the Mirror of the Past," Macroeconomics 0502022, EconWPA.
    9. Robert Boyer & Michel Juillard, 1997. "Le rapport salarial japonais a-t-il atteint ses limites ?," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 48(3), pages 731-739.
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    12. Roger E. A. Farmer, 1999. "Macroeconomics of Self-fulfilling Prophecies, 2nd Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262062038, June.
    13. Robert Boyer & Jean-Pascal Benassy & Rosa-Maria Gelpi, 1979. "Régulation des économies capitalistes et inflation," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 30(3), pages 397-441.
    14. André Orléan & Robert Boyer, 1991. "Les transformations des conventions salariales entre théorie et histoire : d'Henry Ford au fordisme," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 42(2), pages 233-272.
    15. Barry Eichengreen & Jurgen von Hagen, 1996. "Fiscal Policy and Monetary Union: Is There a Tradeoff between Federalism and Budgetary Restrictions?," NBER Working Papers 5517, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Pisani, Florence & Brender, Anton, 1999. "Le nouvel âge de l'économie américaine," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/4190, Paris Dauphine University.
    17. Azariadis, Costas, 1981. "Self-fulfilling prophecies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 380-396, December.
    18. Patrick Bisciari, 2001. "Nouvelle économie," Working Paper Document 14, National Bank of Belgium.
    19. Azariadis, Costas & Guesnerie, Roger, 1986. "Sunspots and Cycles," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(5), pages 725-37, October.
    20. Amable, Bruno, 1999. "Institutional complementarity and diversity of social systems of innovation and production," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economic Change and Employment FS I 99-309, Social Science Research Center Berlin (WZB).
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