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Outlyingness weighted covariation

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  • BOUDT, Kris
  • CROUX, Christophe
  • LAURENT, Sébastien

Abstract

Quadratic covariation is a popular descriptive measure for the volatility of a multivariate price process. It is consistently estimated by the sum of outer products of high-frequency returns. The proposed realized outlyingness weighted covariation (ROWCov) is a weighted sum of outer products of high-frequency returns and downweights returns that, because of jumps or other reasons, are outliers under the Brownian semimartingale model. The ROWCov is positive semidefinite and remains consistent for the integrated covariance in the presence of a finite-activity jump process. We illustrate the usefulness of the estimator on five-minute returns on the transaction prices of the Dow Jones Industrial Average constituents. Copyright The Author 2011. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.
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Suggested Citation

  • BOUDT, Kris & CROUX, Christophe & LAURENT, Sébastien, 2011. "Outlyingness weighted covariation," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2443, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  • Handle: RePEc:cor:louvrp:2443
    DOI: 10.1093/jjfinec/nbr003
    Note: In : Journal of Financial Econometrics, 9(4), 657-684, 2011
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    Cited by:

    1. Iulia LUPU & Gheorghe HURDUZEU & Mariana NICOLAE, 2016. "Connections Between Sentiment Indices And Reduced Volatilities Of Sustainability Stock Market Indices," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 50(1), pages 157-174.
    2. Harry-Paul Vander Elst & David Veredas, 2014. "Disentangled Jump-Robust Realized Covariances and Correlations with Non-Synchronous Prices," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-35, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Varneskov, Rasmus & Voev, Valeri, 2013. "The role of realized ex-post covariance measures and dynamic model choice on the quality of covariance forecasts," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 83-95.
    4. Chan, Kam Fong & Bowman, Robert G. & Neely, Christopher J., 2017. "Systematic cojumps, market component portfolios and scheduled macroeconomic announcements," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 43-58.
    5. Christensen, Kim & Kinnebrock, Silja & Podolskij, Mark, 2010. "Pre-averaging estimators of the ex-post covariance matrix in noisy diffusion models with non-synchronous data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 116-133, November.
    6. Andersen, Torben G. & Dobrev, Dobrislav & Schaumburg, Ernst, 2012. "Jump-robust volatility estimation using nearest neighbor truncation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 75-93.
    7. Michael Ho & Jack Xin, 2016. "Sparse Kalman Filtering Approaches to Covariance Estimation from High Frequency Data in the Presence of Jumps," Papers 1602.02185, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2016.
    8. de Almeida, Daniel & Hotta, Luiz K. & Ruiz, Esther, 2018. "MGARCH models: Trade-off between feasibility and flexibility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 45-63.
    9. Olusanya E. Olubusoye & OlaOluwa S. Yaya, 2016. "Time series analysis of volatility in the petroleum pricing markets: the persistence, asymmetry and jumps in the returns series," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 40(3), pages 235-262, September.
    10. BAUWENS, Luc & HAFNER, Christian & LAURENT, Sébastien, 2011. "Volatility models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011058, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
      • Bauwens, L. & Hafner, C. & Laurent, S., 2012. "Volatility Models," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2012028, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
      • Bauwens, L. & Hafner C. & Laurent, S., 2011. "Volatility Models," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011044, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    11. Kim, Jihyun & Park, Joon & Wang, Bin, 2020. "Estimation of Volatility Functions in Jump Diffusions Using Truncated Bipower Increments," TSE Working Papers 20-1096, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    12. Clements, Adam & Liao, Yin, 2017. "Forecasting the variance of stock index returns using jumps and cojumps," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 729-742.
    13. Cecilia Mancini & Fabio Gobbi, 2010. "Identifying the Brownian Covariation from the Co-Jumps Given Discrete Observations," Working Papers - Mathematical Economics 2010-05, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
    14. Boudt, Kris & Daníelsson, Jón & Laurent, Sébastien, 2013. "Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 244-257.
    15. Qifa Xu & Junqing Zuo & Cuixia Jiang & Yaoyao He, 2021. "A large constrained time‐varying portfolio selection model with DCC‐MIDAS: Evidence from Chinese stock market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3417-3435, July.
    16. Yi, Chae-Deug, 2020. "Jump probability using volatility periodicity filters in US Dollar/Euro exchange rates," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    17. Gnabo, Jean-Yves & Hvozdyk, Lyudmyla & Lahaye, Jérôme, 2014. "System-wide tail comovements: A bootstrap test for cojump identification on the S&P 500, US bonds and currencies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PA), pages 147-174.
    18. Cecilia Mancini & Vanessa Mattiussi & Roberto Renò, 2015. "Spot volatility estimation using delta sequences," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 261-293, April.
    19. Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei & Li Liu, 2019. "Improving forecasting performance of realized covariance with extensions of HAR-RCOV model: statistical significance and economic value," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 1425-1438, September.
    20. repec:cte:wsrepe:es142416 is not listed on IDEAS

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