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Latin American Export Structure and the US Growth Spillover Effect in the Great Recession

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  • Gonzalo Hernández Jiménez

Abstract

Using panel data analysis, and focusing on export-structure related aspects of the Latin American economies, this paper finds that output fluctuations in Latin America are synchronized with the United States’ business cycle in the period 1961-2012. Moreover, non-primary commodity exporters and Latin American countries whose exports have mainly been destined for the US market display an intensified output fluctuation co-movement with the US. These findings have crucial implications to address the uneven performance of Latin American economies in the Great Recession as a consequence of the real GDP contraction in the United States in 2009.

Suggested Citation

  • Gonzalo Hernández Jiménez, 2015. "Latin American Export Structure and the US Growth Spillover Effect in the Great Recession," Vniversitas Económica 12587, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000416:012587
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    export-structure; business cycles; Great Recession; Latin America;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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