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Análisis económico del mecanismo de respuesta de la demanda en el sector eléctrico colombiano (Julio de 2017)

Author

Listed:
  • John J. García
  • Alejandro Gutierrez
  • Luisa Vargas Tobo?n
  • Hermilson Velasquez

Abstract

Resumen Este artículo toma como referencia el programa de Respuesta de la Demanda (RD) implementado en el mercado eléctrico de Estados Unidos coordinado por PJM, considerado como uno de los casos de mercado más exitosos a nivel mundial, para determinar el impacto económico que podría representar un programa de RD para el mercado eléctrico colombiano. Se propone la implementación de un programa de RD con un objetivo de 600 MW en su fase madura y al considerar su participación en el precio del mercado se pudo evidenciar que para el año 2015, este habría podido representar una disminución promedio del precio de bolsa durante las horas de despacho de la RD, de un 30%, con los cuales se estima un ahorro aproximado de 130.000 millones de pesos colombianos, además de que en términos de confiabilidad del sistema se habría podido evitar situaciones de incertidumbre del abastecimiento como las ocurridas en los momentos más críticos del evento El Niño ocurrido entre 2015 y 2016. Abstract This paper is based upon the PJM market Demand Response Program, which it is considered as one of the most successful DR mechanisms over the world. Based on its design, the economic impact that could be achieve if a similar DR program were implemented in the Colombian market was determined. A DR program has been proposed that could achieve 600 MW of capacity in a mature stage. When its impact was took into account in the market price, it was found that for 2015 its impact in the DR dispatch hours could achieve lowering spot price in around 30%. With these results it can be estimated that the system could save about COP130.000 million, regardless of its contribution to the system reliability that, in the past El Niño event (2015-2016), could have reduced blackout risks.

Suggested Citation

  • John J. García & Alejandro Gutierrez & Luisa Vargas Tobo?n & Hermilson Velasquez, 2017. "Análisis económico del mecanismo de respuesta de la demanda en el sector eléctrico colombiano (Julio de 2017)," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 15819, Universidad EAFIT.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000122:015819
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    Keywords

    ARIMAX – ARCH; Beneficios Económicos; Colombia; Incentivos; Mecanismo de Respuesta de la Demanda; Redes Inteligentes.ARIMAX – ARCH; Colombian; Demand Response Program; Economics Benefits; Incentives; Smart Grid.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D47 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Market Design
    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities

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