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Proceso de paz con las FARC y cultivos de coca en el período 2013-2017

Author

Listed:
  • Mónica Amira Alexandra López León
  • Carlos Andrés Guarín Núñez
  • Óscar Iván Medina Cruz
  • Hernando Zuleta

Abstract

Las negociaciones de paz emprendidas por el Gobierno Nacional y las Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia –Ejército del Pueblo (FARC-EP), coincidieron con un repunte de las hectáreas sembradas con coca en el país. El repunte en el área cultivada puede estar explicado por la acción de grupos armados diferentes a las FARC que buscan controlar las zonas cocaleras abandonadas por las FARC o por los incentivos que generó el acuerdo de paz. El contenido del cuarto punto de los acuerdos hace referencia a la solución del problema de las drogas e incluye programas de sustitución de cultivos con beneficios para las familias que se acojan a dichos programas. Estos beneficios pueden haber operado como un incentivo perverso, estimulando la siembra de coca. A partir de un modelo de diferencias en diferencias para múltiples períodos, de 2012 a 2017, controlando por las políticas estatales de control de oferta, se encontró que en municipios donde las FARC tuvieron presencia continua durante el período de negociación, hubo un aumento de 604 hectáreas en promedio por municipio para el 2016, y 1032 para 2017. En los anos 2013, 2014, 2015 no se observan diferencias significativas comparado con el ano base 2012.

Suggested Citation

  • Mónica Amira Alexandra López León & Carlos Andrés Guarín Núñez & Óscar Iván Medina Cruz & Hernando Zuleta, 2019. "Proceso de paz con las FARC y cultivos de coca en el período 2013-2017," Documentos CEDE 17410, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000089:017410
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    File URL: https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstream/handle/1992/41096/dcede2019-32.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ladino, Juan Felipe & Saavedra, Santiago & Wiesner, Daniel, 2021. "One step ahead of the law: The net effect of anticipation and implementation of Colombia’s illegal crops substitution program," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Colombia; cultivos de hoja de coca; proceso de paz; FARC;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • P37 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions - - - Legal
    • Q28 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Government Policy
    • Q34 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Natural Resources and Domestic and International Conflicts

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