Real-Time Prediction and Post-Mortem Analysis of the Shanghai 2015 Stock Market Bubble and Crash
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- Didier SORNETTE & Guilherme DEMOS & Zhang QUN & Peter CAUWELS & Vladimir FILIMONOV & Qunzhi ZHANG, 2015. "Real-Time Prediction and Post-Mortem Analysis of the Shanghai 2015 Stock Market Bubble and Crash," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-32, Swiss Finance Institute.
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Keywords
Financial bubbles; Crashes; Probabilistic forecast; Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette model; Log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS); Advanced warning; Chinese bubbles; Financial crisis observatory;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
- G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-CNA-2016-07-30 (China)
- NEP-FMK-2016-07-30 (Financial Markets)
- NEP-HME-2016-07-30 (Heterodox Microeconomics)
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