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Optimal Dividend Policy with Random Interest Rates

Author

Listed:
  • Erdinc Akyildirim

    (Akdeniz University)

  • Ibrahim Güney

    (University of Zurich, Swiss Finance Institute)

  • Jean-Charles Rochet

    (GFRI, University of Geneva; Swiss Finance Institute; University of Zurich - Swiss Banking Institute (ISB))

  • Halil Mete Soner

    (ETH Zürich; Swiss Finance Institute)

Abstract

Several recent papers have studied the impact of macroeconomic shocks on the financial policies of firms. However they only consider the case where these macroeconomic shocks affect the profitability of firms but not the financial markets conditions. We study the polar case where the profitability of firms is stationary, but interest rates and issuance costs are governed by an exogenous Markov chain. We characterize the optimal dividend policy and show that these two macroeconomic factors have opposing effects: all things being equal, firms distribute more dividends when interest rates are high and less when issuing costs are high.

Suggested Citation

  • Erdinc Akyildirim & Ibrahim Güney & Jean-Charles Rochet & Halil Mete Soner, 2013. "Optimal Dividend Policy with Random Interest Rates," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 13-14, Swiss Finance Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp1314
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hackbarth, Dirk & Miao, Jianjun & Morellec, Erwan, 2006. "Capital structure, credit risk, and macroeconomic conditions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(3), pages 519-550, December.
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    5. Décamps, Jean-Paul & Mariotti, Thomas & Rochet, Jean-Charles & Villeneuve, Stéphane, 2008. "Free Cash-Flow, Issuance Costs and Stock Price Volatility," IDEI Working Papers 518, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    6. Zhengjun Jiang & Martijn Pistorius, 2012. "Optimal dividend distribution under Markov regime switching," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 449-476, July.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Julia Eisenberg & Stefan Kremsner & Alexander Steinicke, 2021. "Two Approaches for a Dividend Maximization Problem under an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Interest Rate," Papers 2108.00234, arXiv.org.
    2. Brinker, Leonie Violetta & Eisenberg, Julia, 2021. "Dividend optimisation: A behaviouristic approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PB), pages 202-224.
    3. Amlys Syahputra Silalahi & Khaira Amalia Fachrudin & Aryanti Sariartha Sianipar & Kharisya Ayu Effendi, 2021. "Analysis of the Bank Specific Factors, Macroeconomics and Oil Price on Dividend Policy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(2), pages 165-171.
    4. A. Max Reppen & Jean‐Charles Rochet & H. Mete Soner, 2020. "Optimal dividend policies with random profitability," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 228-259, January.
    5. Giorgio Ferrari & Patrick Schuhmann & Shihao Zhu, 2021. "Optimal Dividends under Markov-Modulated Bankruptcy Level," Papers 2111.03724, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
    6. Tiziano De Angelis, 2018. "Optimal dividends with partial information and stopping of a degenerate reflecting diffusion," Papers 1805.12035, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
    7. S. Mbulawa & N. F. Okurut & M. M. Ntsosa & N. Sinha, 2020. "Determinants of Corporate Dividend Policy under Hyperinflation and Dollarization by Firms in Zimbabwe," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(2), pages 1-1.
    8. Wang, Yijing, 2022. "A Liquidity-based Resolution to the Dividend Puzzle," MPRA Paper 115560, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Yangmin Zhong & Huaping Huang, 2023. "Cash Flow Optimization on Insurance: An Application of Fixed-Point Theory," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-12, February.
    10. Tiziano Angelis, 2020. "Optimal dividends with partial information and stopping of a degenerate reflecting diffusion," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 71-123, January.
    11. Ferrari, Giorgio & Schuhmann, Patrick & Zhu, Shihao, 2022. "Optimal dividends under Markov-modulated bankruptcy level," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 146-172.
    12. Julia Eisenberg & Stefan Kremsner & Alexander Steinicke, 2021. "Two Approaches for a Dividend Maximization Problem under an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Interest Rate," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(18), pages 1-20, September.
    13. Ferrari, Giorgio & Schuhmann, Patrick & Zhu, Shihao, 2021. "Optimal Dividends under Markov-Modulated Bankruptcy Level," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 657, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    14. Elena Bandini & Tiziano De Angelis & Giorgio Ferrari & Fausto Gozzi, 2022. "Optimal dividend payout under stochastic discounting," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 627-677, April.
    15. Strike Mbulawa & Francis Nathan Okurut & Mogale Ntsosa & Narain Sinha, 2020. "Dynamics of Corporate Dividend Policy under Hyperinflation and Dollarization: A Quantile Regression Approach," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 13(3), pages 70-82, December.
    16. Julia Eisenberg & Yuliya Mishura, 2020. "Optimising dividends and consumption under an exponential CIR as a discount factor," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 92(2), pages 285-309, October.
    17. Eisenberg, Julia & Krühner, Paul, 2018. "The impact of negative interest rates on optimal capital injections," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1-10.
    18. Andrea Barth & Santiago Moreno–Bromberg & Oleg Reichmann, 2016. "A Non-stationary Model of Dividend Distribution in a Stochastic Interest-Rate Setting," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 47(3), pages 447-472, March.
    19. Jussi Keppo & Max Reppen & H. Mete Soner, 2018. "Discrete dividend payments in continuous time," Papers 1805.05077, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
    20. Giorgio Ferrari & Patrick Schuhmann, 2018. "An Optimal Dividend Problem with Capital Injections over a Finite Horizon," Papers 1804.04870, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.
    21. Julia Eisenberg & Yuliya Mishura, 2018. "An Exponential Cox-Ingersoll-Ross Process as Discounting Factor," Papers 1808.10355, arXiv.org.
    22. Julia Eisenberg & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2020. "Optimal Dividends Paid in a Foreign Currency for a L\'evy Insurance Risk Model," Papers 2001.03733, arXiv.org.
    23. Ferrari, Giorgio & Schuhmann, Patrick, 2018. "An Optimal Dividend Problem with Capital Injections over a Finite Horizon," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 595, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    24. Adrian (Waikong) Cheung & May Hu & Jörg Schwiebert, 2018. "Corporate social responsibility and dividend policy," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(3), pages 787-816, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dividend Policy; Business Cycles; Financial Frictions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G35 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Payout Policy
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis

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