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Role of Information in Decision Making of Social Agents

Author

Listed:
  • Vyacheslav I. Yukalov

    (Joint Institute for Nuclear Research; D-MTEC, ETH Zurich)

  • Didier Sornette

    (ETH Zürich - Department of Management, Technology, and Economics (D-MTEC); Swiss Finance Institute)

Abstract

The influence of additional information on the decision making of agents, who are interacting members of a society, is analyzed within the mathematical framework based on the use of quantum probabilities. The introduction of social interactions, which influence the decisions of individual agents, leads to a generalization of the quantum decision theory developed earlier by the authors for separate individuals. The generalized approach is free of the standard paradoxes of classical decision theory. This approach also explains the error attenuation effects observed for the paradoxes occurring when decision makers, who are members of a society, consult with each other, increasing in this way the available mutual information. A precise correspondence between quantum decision theory and classical utility theory is formulated via the introduction of an intermediate probabilistic version of utility theory of a novel form, which obeys the requirement that zero-utility prospects should have zero probability weights.

Suggested Citation

  • Vyacheslav I. Yukalov & Didier Sornette, 2012. "Role of Information in Decision Making of Social Agents," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 12-10, Swiss Finance Institute, revised Apr 2017.
  • Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp1210
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Decision theory; Decision making under risk and uncertainty; Group consultations; Social interactions; Information and knowledge;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory
    • D03 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Behavioral Microeconomics: Underlying Principles
    • D71 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Social Choice; Clubs; Committees; Associations
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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