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Should We Stay or Should We Go? Firms’ Decision on Services Mode of Supply

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  • Holger Breinlich
  • Martina Magli

Abstract

Services account for one-third of global trade, yet little is known about the impact of trade restrictions on services trade. To make progress in this area, it is crucial to understand through which Modes services are traded (cross-border, movement of people, foreign investment or consumption abroad) and how firms substitute among these Modes. We provide novel micro-level evidence on firms’ mode choices, combining detailed data on UK firms’ trade and affiliates’ sales. We also estimate the substitution between trade Modes using Brexit as an exogenous shock, finding that UK firms increasingly relied on local affiliate sales to serve the EU market after 2016. This shift protected firm-level services exports from expected higher trade barriers after Brexit, but at the cost of lower domestic employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Holger Breinlich & Martina Magli, 2024. "Should We Stay or Should We Go? Firms’ Decision on Services Mode of Supply," CESifo Working Paper Series 11331, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_11331
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp11331.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Douch, Mustaph & Huw Edwards, T., 2021. "The Brexit policy shock: Were UK services exports affected, and when?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 248-263.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    trade shocks; services trade; modes of supply; Brexit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions

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