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How to Estimate Unbiased and Consistent input-output Multipliers on the Basis of use and Make Matrices

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Abstract

In the literature, the construction of technical coefficients is linked to flow data (use and make matrices), but stochastics are imposed on the coefficients when multipliers are calculated, by means of the Leontief inverse. Due the nonlinearity of this operation, the multiplier estimates are biased (it is generally argued that the Leontief inverse underestimates input-output multipliers). By going back to the flow data, this paper provides unbiased and consistent employment and output multipliers estimates for the Andalusian economy. Rectangular use and make matrices are accommodated and technical coefficients, the Leontief inverse, and associated problems (such as negative coefficients) are circumvented.

Suggested Citation

  • Thijs ten Raa & José Manuel Rueda Cantuche, 2004. "How to Estimate Unbiased and Consistent input-output Multipliers on the Basis of use and Make Matrices," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2004/14, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
  • Handle: RePEc:cea:doctra:e2004_14
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    Cited by:

    1. Thijs ten Raa & José M. Rueda-Cantuche, 2005. "The problem of negatives in input-output analysis: a review of the solutions," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2005/07, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stochastic input-output analysis; employment multipliers; output multipliers; use and make matrices.;
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    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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