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Impactos estruturais do programa Bolsa família na dinâmica recente da economia brasileira

Author

Listed:
  • Débora Freire Cardoso

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Edson Paulo Domingues

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Gustavo Britto

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

Abstract

The aim of this study is to introduce a methodology to project impacts of cash transfers programs, which we exemplify through the evaluation of the BolsaFamília Program in a recent period of the Brazilian economy (2009-2015). An original dynamic recursive computable general equilibrium model, modified to consider issues related to income distribution and their impact on households consumption levels as well as on sectoral output was applied. The results suggest that the program also generates income gains for classes which do not receive cash transfers from Government by its indirect effects on labor and capital income, but has effects on labor income inequality decrease and on productive structure. We conclude that cash transfers policieshave important impacts over the process of development of the country, even though its effect on growth is small.

Suggested Citation

  • Débora Freire Cardoso & Edson Paulo Domingues & Gustavo Britto, 2017. "Impactos estruturais do programa Bolsa família na dinâmica recente da economia brasileira," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 556, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdp:texdis:td556
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cash transfer programs; Bolsa Família; Inequality; Consumption; Productive Structure; Computable General Equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H53 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models

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