IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cbt/econwp/17-21.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A Primer on the “Reproducibility Crisis” and Ways to Fix It

Author

Abstract

This article uses the framework of Ioannidis (2005) to organize a discussion of issues related to the “reproducibility crisis.” It then goes on to use that framework to evaluate various proposals to fix the problem. Of particular interest is the “post-study probability”, the probability that a reported research finding represents a true relationship. This probability is inherently unknowable. However, a number of insightful results emerge if we are willing to make some conjectures about reasonable parameter values. Among other things, this analysis demonstrates the important role that replication can play in improving the signal value of empirical research.

Suggested Citation

  • W. Robert Reed, 2017. "A Primer on the “Reproducibility Crisis” and Ways to Fix It," Working Papers in Economics 17/21, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbt:econwp:17/21
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repec.canterbury.ac.nz/cbt/econwp/1721.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    BReproducibility crisis; Post-study probability; Significance level; Power; Publication bias; Pre-registration; Registered reports; Negative results; Replication;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C80 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - General

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cbt:econwp:17/21. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Albert Yee (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/decannz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.