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Informed by wet feet: How do floods affect property prices?

Author

Listed:
  • Reich, Stephanie K.
  • Hintermann, Beat

    (University of Basel)

  • Zischg, Andreas

Abstract

We investigate the effect of multiple flood events on property prices in Zurich canton of Switzerland. By merging property transaction data with records from universal and mandatory building insurance, we are able to identify the effect of the informational content of floods separately from the damage caused. Our rich data allows us to control for a wide range of housing characteristics, thus reducing the bias from unobserved heterogeneity that routinely plagues hedonic regressions. We find that houses located in flood hazard zones sell at a discount relative to houses located outside, despite the presence of mandatory insurance that covers most (but not all) costs. Providing flood hazard information increases the value of houses that are assigned a low risk. Last, we look at the effect of floods on property prices and find that in the aftermath of flood events, properties that narrowly escaped damage were sold at a significant discount relative to houses located out of harm's way. This pure information effect decays shortly.

Suggested Citation

  • Reich, Stephanie K. & Hintermann, Beat & Zischg, Andreas, 2020. "Informed by wet feet: How do floods affect property prices?," Working papers 2020/18, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
  • Handle: RePEc:bsl:wpaper:2020/18
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    File URL: https://edoc.unibas.ch/79633/1/2020_18_Informed%20by%20wet%20feet_How%20do%20floods%20affect%20property%20prices.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Flood risk; hedonic pricing; amenity value; availability bias; spatial hedonic model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q53 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Air Pollution; Water Pollution; Noise; Hazardous Waste; Solid Waste; Recycling
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand

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