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The Effects of Macro-prudential Policies on House Prices Using Real Transaction Data: Evidence from Korea (in Korean)

Author

Listed:
  • Hosung Jung

    (Economic Research Institute, The Bank of Korea)

  • Jieun Lee

    (Economic Research Institute, The Bank of Korea)

Abstract

We investigate the effects of macro-prudential policies on house prices using event study approaches and dynamic panel models. We construct a unique dataset with house price index based on real transactions and newly estimated loan-to-value (LTV) and debt-to-income (DTI) limits for a monthly panel of 98 districts across Seoul, the Gyeonggi Province and six metropolitan cities covering the period from March 2006 to June 2015. We show that DTI limits appear to be more effective in stabilizing house prices than LTV limits. Both tightening and loosening DTI and only loosening LTV limits are effective. Overall, the results indicate that macro-prudential policies could be a useful tool in curbing excessive household debts and the subsequent house price bubbles. This is the first study to estimate LTV and DTI limits at the district level and analyze the effects of macro-prudential policies on house prices. Our study would provide important lessons for the policy authorities that are implementing LTV and DTI regulations with an aim to cope with a surge in house prices and credit extension.

Suggested Citation

  • Hosung Jung & Jieun Lee, 2016. "The Effects of Macro-prudential Policies on House Prices Using Real Transaction Data: Evidence from Korea (in Korean)," Working Papers 2016-10, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    • Handle: RePEc:bok:wpaper:1610
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    File URL: https://www.bok.or.kr/ucms/cmmn/file/fileDown.do?menuNo=600341&atchFileId=ENG_0000000001018904&fileSn=1
    File Function: Working Paper, 2016
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    Cited by:

    1. Jung, Hosung & Lee, Jieun, 2017. "The effects of macroprudential policies on house prices: Evidence from an event study using Korean real transaction data," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 167-185.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macro-prudential policies; Household debt; House prices; LTV; DTI;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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