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Modelisation et prevision des indices de prix sectoriels


  • Jondeau, E.
  • Le Bihan, H.
  • Sedillot, F.


Ce papier presente une modelisation de l'indice des prix francais. L'objectif est de permettre une analyse rapide et detaillee des tendances de court terme de l'inflation ainsi que de realiser des previsions a intervalles rapproches. Les caracteristiques de cet outil sont les suivantes: un petit nombre d'equations, une frequence mensuelle, un detail sectoriel assez fin et la publication d'intervalles de confiance relatifs a la prevision.

Suggested Citation

  • Jondeau, E. & Le Bihan, H. & Sedillot, F., 1999. "Modelisation et prevision des indices de prix sectoriels," Working papers 68, Banque de France.
  • Handle: RePEc:bfr:banfra:68

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    Cited by:

    1. Baghli, M. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & De Bandt, O. & Fraisse, H. & Villetelle, J-P., 2003. "Le modèle de prévision MASCOTTE pour l’économie française : principales propriétés et résultats de variantes," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 118, pages 63-86.
    2. Ivan Kitov & Oleg Kitov, 2013. "Does Banque de France control inflation and unemployment?," Papers 1311.1097,
    3. Bruneau, C. & De Bandt, O. & Flageollet, A., 2003. "Forecasting Inflation in the Euro Area," Working papers 102, Banque de France.

    More about this item


    Modèles economiques ; Prevision ; Instrument de mesure ; Prix;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • C80 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - General


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