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Valor en Riesgo Condicional para el portafolio de deuda pública de las entidades financieras

Author

Listed:
  • Wilmar Cabrera
  • Luis Melo
  • Juan Carlos Mendoza

Abstract

En este documento se analiza la exposición al riesgo de mercado del portafolio de deuda pública de las diferentes entidades del sistema financiero Colombiano desde dos perspectivas. En la primera, se emplea el enfoque tradicional en donde se calcula el valor en riesgo no condicional (a otras instituciones), para cuantificar el riesgo de mercado de los portafolios de las entidades. En la segunda, se utiliza una medida de riesgo condicional (CoVaR) con el fin de identificar los sectores que generan un mayor incremento en el riesgo del sistema financiero en el mercado de deuda pública. Ambas medidas fueron estimadas empleando la metodología de regresión por cuantiles modelando efectos ARCH. Los resultados sugieren que los sectores que generan un mayor incremento en el riesgo de mercado del sistema son los fondos de pensiones, los bancos comerciales, las sociedades comisionistas de bolsa y las sociedades fiduciarias.

Suggested Citation

  • Wilmar Cabrera & Luis Melo & Juan Carlos Mendoza, 2012. "Valor en Riesgo Condicional para el portafolio de deuda pública de las entidades financieras," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 072, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:temest:072
    DOI: 10.32468/tef.72
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    Cited by:

    1. Luis Melo Velandia & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2019. "Regresión cuantílica dinámica para la medición del valor en riesgo: Una aplicación a datos colombianos," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 38(76), pages 23-50, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Riesgo de mercado; VaR; CoVaR; regresión por cuantiles;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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