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Una versión sencilla del modelo de búsqueda y el mercado laboral urbano de Colombia (2001: I - 2006: II)

Author

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  • Carlos Esteban Posada

Abstract

En este documento se expone una versión sencilla del modelo de búsqueda. Su aplicación al caso del mercado laboral urbano colombiano (2001:I – 2006:II) indica lo siguiente: a) el modelo parece pertinente si se juzga por sus predicciones; b) la relación inversa entre la tasa de ocupación asalariada y la tasa de desempleo predicha por el modelo es, según los datos, especialmente estrecha; c) la caída de la tasa de interés real a lo largo del período 2001:I – 2006:II parece haber sido el principal factor determinante de los aumentos de la tasa de ocupación (total y de asalariados) y del salario real medio y de la reducción de la tasa de desempleo; d) el proceso de reducciones de la tasa de interés parece ya temporalmente agotado así que, según el modelo, los aumentos del salario real durante los próximos años han de depender mucho más que en el quinquenio 2001-2006 de los incrementos de la eficiencia laboral.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Esteban Posada, 2007. "Una versión sencilla del modelo de búsqueda y el mercado laboral urbano de Colombia (2001: I - 2006: II)," Borradores de Economia 441, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:441
    DOI: 10.32468/be.441
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Búsqueda de trabajo; empleo asalariado; desempleo; tasa de interés.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - General
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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