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Modelo Mensual de Canales de Transmisión


  • María Paola Figueroa
  • Javier Gómez Pineda



Como el efecto de la política monetaria tiene un rezago, excepto por choques inesperados, en los próximos trimestres la inflación ya está definida. En este documento presentamos un modelo de pronóstico de la inflación en el corto plazo que es nuevo en la gama de modelos de pronóstico de la inflación utilizados de los bancos centrales. El modelo mensual de mecanismos de transmisión (MMCT) formaliza nuestro criterio sobre las tendencias más recientes de la inflación en el corto plazo. Con este modelo obtenemos, a uno y dos trimestres, los pronósticos más precisos dentro los distintos modelos de proyección del banco central de Colombia.
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  • María Paola Figueroa & Javier Gómez Pineda, 2003. "Modelo Mensual de Canales de Transmisión," Borradores de Economia 267, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:267

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Norberto Rodríguez & Patricia Siado, 2003. "Un Pronóstico No Paramétrico De La Inflación Colombiana," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003691, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    2. Javier Gómez & José Darío Uribe & Hernando Vargas, 2002. "The Implementation Of Inflation Targeting In Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003603, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gloria Lucía Bernal Nisperuza & Johanna Táutiva Pradere, 2011. "Datos en tiempo real:una aplicación a la regla de taylor en Colombia," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 13(24), pages 373-394, January-J.

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