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Sentiment Indexes and Economic Activity Indicators in Mexico 2016-2021

Author

Listed:
  • Torre Leonardo
  • González Eva
  • Casillas Ramón
  • Alvarado Jorge

Abstract

This paper uses, for the first time, information in text format from 9,802 interviews performed between January 2016 and January 2021 from the Programa Trimestral de Entrevistas a Directivos, employed to elaborate Banco de Mexico's Regional Economic Report, to estimate regional and national sentiment indexes. These indexes are next associated with different "soft" and "hard" data of economic activity. The results show positive and statistically significant correlations between both types of indicators, mainly at the national level, suggesting that data in text format contained in the Programa Trimestral de Entrevistas a Directivos can be useful to complement the information provided by traditional indicators of economic activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Torre Leonardo & González Eva & Casillas Ramón & Alvarado Jorge, 2022. "Sentiment Indexes and Economic Activity Indicators in Mexico 2016-2021," Working Papers 2022-18, Banco de México.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdm:wpaper:2022-18
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    File URL: https://www.banxico.org.mx/publicaciones-y-prensa/documentos-de-investigacion-del-banco-de-mexico/%7B6809C604-904E-8EBE-E563-7CDA162C38AB%7D.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sentiment Analysis; Regional Analysis; Mexico;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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