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Recent developments in spanish retail electricity prices: the role played by the cost of CO2 emission allowances and higher gas prices

Author

Listed:
  • Matías Pacce

    (Banco de España)

  • Isabel Sánchez

    (Banco de España)

  • Marta Suárez-Varela

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

Between December 2020 and June 2021, wholesale electricity market prices almost doubled in Spain. According to our estimates, a substantial portion of the observed increase – around 20% – would be due to the rise in CO2 prices in the European ETS, which directly impacts the cost of generating electricity through fossil fuel technologies. Nevertheless, most of the increase – approximately half – would be attributable to the rise in natural gas prices, one of the inputs in combined cycle plants. Developments in wholesale electricity prices in other European markets have been similar to those in Spain. However, there are substantial differences regarding the pass-through to retail prices. In particular, the increase in the wholesale price of electricity would account for around one-third of the rise in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) in Spain between December 2020 and June 2021, while its contribution to overall inflation in the main economies of the euro area has been significantly lower. Disparities in retail pricing schemes could be behind the observed differences.

Suggested Citation

  • Matías Pacce & Isabel Sánchez & Marta Suárez-Varela, 2021. "Recent developments in spanish retail electricity prices: the role played by the cost of CO2 emission allowances and higher gas prices," Occasional Papers 2120, Banco de España.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:opaper:2120e
    as

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    File URL: https://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosOcasionales/21/Files/do2120e.pdf
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    File URL: https://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosOcasionales/21/Fich/do2120.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. José González Mínguez & Samuel Hurtado & Danilo Leiva-León & Alberto Urtasun, 2023. "The spread of inflation from energy to other components," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2023/Q1.
    2. Andreas Breitenfellner & Friedrich Fritzer & Doris Prammer & Fabio Rumler & Mirjam Salish, 2022. "What is the impact of carbon pricing on inflation in Austria?," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q3/22, pages 23-41.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation; electricity market; European Emissions Trading System (EU ETS); pass-through;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q52 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Pollution Control Adoption and Costs; Distributional Effects; Employment Effects

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