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Dating and synchronisation of regional business cycles in Spain

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo Bandrés

    (Universidad De Zaragoza Y Funcas)

  • María-Dolores Gadea

    (Universidad De Zaragoza)

  • Ana Gómez-Loscos

    (Banco De España)

Abstract

The analysis of the regional business cycles in Spain highlights a high degree of similarity in the developments of most regions, but also shows idiosyncratic behaviour that mainly affects the duration and intensity of recessions. Such idiosyncratic behaviour would advise complementing national policies with specific policies aimed at certain territories. This paper adopts two complementary approaches in order to comprehensively date and analyse regional business cycles: the first uses an annual aggregate indicator such as GDP, for which a long series is available; the second focuses on a set of specific monthly indicators for a more recent period and provides a more accurate characterisation of the reference cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Bandrés & María-Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2021. "Dating and synchronisation of regional business cycles in Spain," Occasional Papers 2107, Banco de España.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:opaper:2107e
    as

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    regional cycles; synchronisation; clusters;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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