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A Time Series Analysis of the Impact of NAFTA on Alabama Pulpwood Production

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  • Henry Thompson

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has had any measurable impact on Alabama pulpwood production since 1993. The method used is to establish a time series model up to the beginning of NAFTA and examine whether there has been a discernable shift since. The time series model is estimated with annual production data from 1953 on pulpwood and its categories softwood and hardwood. Pulpwood has a long history of data at the state level and is a major forest product in the state. An implicit theoretical assumption is that supply has increased over the period at a steady pace. Beyond claims of import damage, an underlying policy issue is the expansion of free trade to include all of the Americas in negotiations toward the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA). This paper also contributes to the empirical literature on the effects of free trade agreements.

Suggested Citation

  • Henry Thompson, 2002. "A Time Series Analysis of the Impact of NAFTA on Alabama Pulpwood Production," International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU paper0206, International Center for Public Policy, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University.
    • Handle: RePEc:ays:ispwps:paper0206
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    File URL: http://icepp.gsu.edu/files/2015/03/ispwp0206.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roy Boyd & Khosrow Doroodian & Saquib Abdul-Latif, 1993. "The Effects of Tariff Removals on the North American Lumber Trade," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 41(3), pages 311-328, November.
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    Keywords

    NAFTA; Alabama; pulpwood;
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