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Determinants of Business Cycles in Small Scale Macroeconomic Models: The German Case

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Abstract

We identify measures of shocks to total factor productivity and preferences from two real business cycle models and subject them to Granger causality tests to see whether they can be considered exogenous to other plausible sources of the German business cycle in the mid nineteen seventies and nineteen eighties. We find no evidence to reject the exogeneity of our shock measures. This results contrasts with similar studies for other countries that question the exogeneity of either productivity or preference shocks.

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  • Alfred Maussner & Julius Spatz, 2001. "Determinants of Business Cycles in Small Scale Macroeconomic Models: The German Case," Discussion Paper Series 213, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:aug:augsbe:0213
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    File URL: https://opus.bibliothek.uni-augsburg.de/opus4/files/71249/213.pdf
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    Cited by:

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    2. Tobias Zimmermann & Torsten Schmidt, 2005. "Effects of oil price shocks on German business cycles," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 212, Society for Computational Economics.
    3. Torsten Schmidt & Tobias Zimmermann, 2005. "Effects of Oil Price Shocks on German Business Cycles," RWI Discussion Papers 0036, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung.

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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