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Managing the bias variance trade-off in regional house price indices

Author

Listed:
  • Fabrice Kreuzbichler
  • Wolfgang Brunauer
  • Karin Wagner
  • Ronald Weberndorfer

Abstract

The Austrian Central Bank (OeNB) has been publishing the Austrian residential property price index for many years now. Several years ago, there has been a change in the underlying methodology, from the “dummy method” to a “double imputation method”. While with the former approach, the regionalization of the index had been bound to the model regions (as it is derived from an evaluation of model parameters), the new methodology allows for arbitrary granularization. Now we explore methods for regionalization, and their impact on the bias-variance trade-off. Furthermore, we investigate the possible impact on the construction of early warning systems for the Austrian housing markets, which can in turn be used for systemic risk analyses.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabrice Kreuzbichler & Wolfgang Brunauer & Karin Wagner & Ronald Weberndorfer, 2024. "Managing the bias variance trade-off in regional house price indices," ERES eres2024-174, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
  • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2024-174
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    File URL: https://eres.architexturez.net/doc/oai-eres-id-eres2024-174
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bias variance trade-off; Double Imputation; Price Index; regionalization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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