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Rental adjustment in European office markets: global or local effect?

Author

Listed:
  • Alain Coen
  • Benoit Lefebvre
  • Richard Malle
  • Arnaud Simon

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to deeply investigate the rental dynamics of the European office market during a long period (2002-2017). This paper analyses the global and local dynamics of the 26 largest European office markets. First we estimate a dynamic panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) modelling. Then, we estimate the same equation for each market individually. Our modelling at two levels highlights a significant heterogeneity across European office markets. Finally, we revisit the natural vacancy rate theory. We show that European office markets currently exhibit vacancy rates below their natural rates suggesting relevant opportunities for real estate portfolio investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Coen & Benoit Lefebvre & Richard Malle & Arnaud Simon, 2019. "Rental adjustment in European office markets: global or local effect?," ERES eres2019_61, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
  • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2019_61
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    European integration; Natural vacancy rate; Office Market; Panel VAR; Rental dynamics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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